Thursday, May 31, 2018

Merger Mania


In the rush to get bigger in an increasingly more complex media world, how does Disney's (or Comcast's) acquisition of Fox's assets (excluding its major sports and news businesses) position the firm to compete more effectively against Netflix and other technology companies?  Is bigger always better?  Might a "deal" with distributor/technology company make more sense than a pure content play?

Media Company
Content Production
Aggregation
Distribution
TV
Movies
Broadcast Network
Major Cable Networks
Number of TV Stations – owned
MVPD &
Broadband
OVD
The Walt Disney Company
ABC Studios
Walt Disney Pictures, Pixar, Marvel, Lucas Films, Touchstone
ABC
The Disney Channel, ESPN, Freeform
8
No
Hulu
Comcast
NBC Studios
Universal Pictures, Illumination, Focus Features
NBC, Telemundo
USA, MSNBC, CNBC, E!, Syfy, Bravo, NBC Sports, Golf Channel
29
Xfinity
Hulu
CBS Corporation
CBS Television Studios
CBS Films
CBS, The CW
Showtime, CBS Sports Network, Smithsonian Channel
29

No
CBS All Access
21st Century Fox
20th Century Fox Television, Fox21 Television Studios
20th Century Fox Film
FOX, MyNetworkTV
Fox News, Fox Sports, Fox Business
28
No
Hulu

Friday, March 23, 2018

The luck of the draw?


As AT&T begins the battle in the District Court of D.C. to defend its proposed acquisition of Time Warner and its valued content (e.g. HBO and CNN), it will be arguing it’s case before the randomly assigned judge, Richard Leon.  In 2011, Judge Leon ruled in favor of the Comcast-NBC Universal merger, but only after behavioral conditions were attached.  At the time, he questioned whether these conditions would be effective in preventing anticompetitive harm because of limitations in oversight and enforcement of the rules.  

Seven years later, a lot has changed in the industry…notably the growth of OTT distribution and original content creation by non-traditional players.   Is a vertical merger of AT&T and Time Warner a necessary response to a disrupted industry or just another mega-play to control what people watch and how they watch it.   Judge Leon is tasked with sorting it all out…a crystal ball may be needed!

Sunday, December 17, 2017

When it comes to regulating the Internet, does it matter what we call it?


With few exceptions, too much of anything can be inefficient and wasteful.  But, wouldn’t it be nice if we had more choices, more competitors in the market, when we were looking to buy access to the Internet for our home or business?  Could you imagine comparing upload and download speeds, quality of service, and prices for a dozen or more broadband options? 

Today, while 70 percent of U.S. households have access to fixed high speed internet (download speed of 25 mbps or higher), only 21 percent have a choice between two or more providers.  Why so few choices?  The upfront investment costs for the distribution plant are in the billions of dollars.  It is why, according to the Leichtman Group, that 95 percent of the U.S. broadband market is served by just 14 telecom and cable providers.  Even Google has dialed back its plans to get in the game.  So, when competition cannot thrive because economies of scale are so significant that the market can only accommodate a small number of firms in each geographical market, regulation is necessary to ensure just and reasonable outcomes.  The question is how much regulation, because, more often than not, regulation is overdone (costly) and extends beyond its “useful” life.  But, until there are changes to technology or the way we consume information services, regulation is all we got.  Calling it “light-touch”, as the FCC did in both its 2015 Order and its reversal of that Order last week, tries to make us feel better about it.  But, that should not be the emphasis.  Let’s get regulatory oversight right.  Let’s ensure that ISPs, privately-held or even municipalities, are incentivized to invest in state-of-the art infrastructure while ensuring that consumers and competitors are not harmed or disadvantaged.  This goldilocks “ask” will not be easy to achieve, given the political climate, the pace of vertical and horizontal consolidation within the industry, and the regulatory flip-flops*.  But, we must try!

*Regulatory History of Telecommunications and Information Services


Date
Discussion
1910-1934
The Mann-Elkins Act of 1910 amended the Interstate Commerce Act of 1887 to extend common carrier regulation to telecommunication services.  By law, common carriers are required to provide non-discriminatory “transport” services to the general public.
 The Communications Act of 1934 established the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) as the regulatory body with oversight of interstate telecommunications services. Title II of the Act describes the responsibilities of a common carrier.
1966-1980
 
The FCC conducted a series of proceedings (Computer Inquiries) to examine and alter policies in response to the convergence of computers and communications.
The FCC, in its Second Computer Inquiry (1980), established a regulatory framework that distinguished between “basic service’ and “enhanced service.”  Basic service was “limited to the common carrier offering of transmission capacity for the movement of information” while an enhanced service was “any offering over the telecommunications network” that was more than a basic transmission service.”
1996
The Telecommunications Act amended the Communications Act of 1934 with the intention of significantly relaxing regulations which were seen as impediments to investment and innovation.  Section 706 of the statute directed the FCC to “take immediate action to accelerate deployment of such capability by removing barriers to infrastructure investment and by promoting competition in the telecommunications market.”  Telecommunications (basic) service, including access to the Internet over telephone lines (DSL), would continue to be regulated under Title II.  Information (enhanced services) would be regulated under Title I.
2005
 
 
2006
In National Cable & Telecommunications Association v. Brand X Internet Services (2005), the Supreme Court upheld the FCC’s decision that cable modem service providers are information service providers (Title I) and not common carriers (Title II). 
In 2006, the FCC stopped applying common carrier regulations and Computer Inquiry requirements to broadband internet services provided by telephone companies.
2010-2014
In its 2010 Open Internet Order, the FCC implemented rules against blocking and unreasonable discrimination by ISPs.  The conduct rules were in place for several years until, in 2014, in Verizon v. FCC, the Court struck them down because the rules fell outside the Commission’s “statutory grant of authority” under Title I.
2015
In a 3-2 vote on Protecting and Promoting the Open Internet, the FCC classified fixed and mobile ISPs as common carriers under modified Title II rules and banned blocking, throttling, and paid prioritization.
2017
In a 3-2 vote on Restoring Internet Freedom, the FCC reclassified broadband Internet access service as an information service under Title I and handed over jurisdiction to the FTC in determining if ISPs are engaging in unfair business practices.




Monday, November 20, 2017

Favoring Your Own Content

Once again we are shaking our heads….As the DOJ filed to block the $85 billion AT&T-TW merger today because of foreclosure concerns (e.g. favoring your own content), the FCC announced that, beginning this week, it plans to roll back net neutrality rules. 


The current Title II (Common Carrier) rules tightly regulate the internet, including preventing preferential treatment for those content providers who can pay more or are owned by the distributor.  

Never a fan of Title II regulation of the internet, I think a slight pull back on net neutrality to Title I is warranted and the AT&T-TW merger should go through with some behavioral remedies (e.g. no favoritism).

Thursday, November 16, 2017

FOR SALE: 21st Century Fox

Nothing should surprise us anymore in the media industry, but, this gets close.  Supposedly, three of the largest firms (Disney, Comcast, and Verizon) have been talking to 21st Century Fox about acquiring some of its most valuable movie and television production assets. 


In light of the DOJ’s recent statements about possibly attaching structural remedies to the AT&T-Time Warner deal, other huge deals, vertical (distribution-content) or horizontal (content-content) may get a lower approval probability from the start.  But, then again, there is the Trump factor and the President likes FOX a whole lot more than CNN.

The FCC in action on Thursday, November 16

Acknowledging the rapidly changing competitive landscape, the FCC, in a split vote along party lines (3-2), removed the long-standing ban on cross-ownership of a newspaper and TV station in a major market and made it easier for media companies to own multiple TV stations in the same market.  The changes should spawn consolidation deals among media outlets and pave the way for Sinclair Broadcast Group’s $4 billion purchase of Tribune Media Group.  If this particular deal goes through without divestitures, the combined firm would own 233 stations and cover over 70 percent of the country.

Wednesday, November 8, 2017

“Trumping” the deal

He hates CNN so maybe President Trump has more influence with the Department of Justice than he admitted a week or so ago.  (See link to CNN article.)


It was announced today that the DOJ is offering AT&T two asset sale options in order to gain approval of its merger with Time Warner – one is to sell off its TV assets (e.g. CNN) and the other is to unload DirecTV, an asset it has only owned for two years but has fully integrated into its packages and marketing efforts.  With declining viewership and a Trump-bashing “agenda”, unloading CNN is the more likely of the two options for AT&T to choose.