Monday, July 25, 2016

A look back and forward

20-years after the Telecom Act of 1996, cable and wireline telecom providers seem to be retreating from their enthusiastic entries into each other’s markets.  Verizon’s FiOS is available in highly-populated areas in just 9-states.  AT&T U-Verse is in 21 states, but with its 2015 purchase of the satellite-provider, DirecTV, it seems to be pivoting away from a commitment to wireline technology. (See #s below).  Meanwhile, cable providers’ ability to sign-up telecommunications subscribers (even in bundles) lags behind its other offerings. 

But, by providing consumers with a choice of alternative access technologies, wireline vs. mobile, cable and telecom firms may compete more effectively in broadband in significantly more markets than they ever did before. 


Pay-TV
1Q2014
1Q2015
1Q2016
2015-2014
2015-2016
Cable
         50,418,063
         49,220,333
         49,113,576
  (1,197,730)
    (106,757)
Satellite
         34,362,000
         34,256,000
         33,986,000
      (106,000)
    (270,000)
Verizon FiOS
           5,319,000
           5,739,000
           5,863,000
        420,000
      124,000
AT&T U-verse
           5,661,000
           5,993,000
           5,260,000
        332,000
    (733,000)
TOTAL
         95,760,063
         95,208,333
         94,222,576
      (551,730)
    (985,757)
Broadband
1Q2014
1Q2015
1Q2016
2015-2014
2015-2016
Cable
         50,310,968
         52,963,179
         56,334,724
    2,652,211
   3,371,545
Verizon FiOS
           9,031,000
           9,246,000
           9,218,000
        215,000
      (28,000)
AT&T U-verse
         16,503,000
         16,097,000
         15,764,000
      (406,000)
    (333,000)
Other Telco
           9,701,938
         10,199,978
         10,220,323
        498,040
         20,345
TOTAL
         85,546,906
         88,506,157
         91,537,047
    2,959,251
   3,030,890
Source: Leichtman Research Group

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